American President Joe Biden, 79, will lead the Democrats into the 2022 mid-terms later this year. However, Mr Biden will need to overcome some unfavourable polling data if he hopes to return to the Oval Office in 2024.
A recent survey conducted by Gallup indicated a “dramatic shift” in political affiliation over the course of 2021.
In the last quarter of 2021, Gallup found Americans identifying themselves as Republicans or independent voters who lean towards the GOP represent 47 percent of the electorate – up from 40 percent following the January 6 riot and Mr Biden’s inauguration.
In comparison, the Democrats have seen their support tumble from 49 percent in January to just 42 percent in December.
However, it is not only the affiliation shift which will give the Republicans a boost.
According to Gallup, the GOP’s five-point lead is a “rare” result in their polling.
They said: “The GOP has held as much as a five-point advantage in a total of only four quarters since 1991.
“The Republicans last held a five-point advantage in party identification and leaning in early 1995, after winning control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1950s.
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“Republicans had a larger advantage only in the first quarter of 1991, after the US victory in the Persian Gulf War led by then-President George HW Bush.”
Gallup’s Jeffrey Jones argued a dip in support for the Commander-in-Chief led his party’s prospects to worsen.
Mr Jones wrote: “By the third quarter, those Democratic gains evaporated as Biden’s job approval declined.”
This continued into the Virginia gubernatorial election race.
Republican Glenn Youngkin, 55, defeated Terry McAuliffe, 64, in the Old Dominion.
Virginia had voted for the Democrats in every Presidential Election since Barack Obama, 60, won the 2008 poll.
The GOP also had a strong performance in New Jersey, a state which hasn’t voted for the party’s Presidential candidate since 1988, when the party finished less than 85,000 votes behind the incumbent Governor Philip Murphy, 64.
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However, following the November elections, Gallup suggested the Republican lead has dipped slightly.
“The final monthly survey of 2021 showed the parties at roughly even strength, although that still represents a departure from the historical norm of the Democratic Party’s having at least a slight advantage in party affiliation,” Jones claimed.
Gallup also assessed the impact ex-POTUS Donald Trump, 75, has had in the GOP’s change in fortunes.
Mr Jones pointed out how the Republican Party fared worse at the end of Mr Trump’s stint in the Oval Office, as COVID-19 infections continued to rise and supporters of the 45th President stormed the Capitol on January 6.
Only two pollsters have published their hypothetical general election survey results from 2022.
Redfield & Wilton found Mr Biden registered a two-point lead over Mr Trump.
However, Trump defeated ex-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, 74, in 2016 by 74 electoral college votes despite losing the popular vote by a similar margin.
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In the separate Rasmussen Reports and Pulse Opinion Research poll, Trump opened up a six-point lead over his successor at the White House.
Mr Trump is yet to announce whether he will stand in the 2024 Presidential Election.
But he has rejoined the campaign trail as he held a rally in Arizona on Saturday.
The Grand Canyon State could prove essential if Mr Trump hopes to return to the Oval Office.
Trump lost Arizona, a state which had otherwise voted for the GOP candidate in 16 out of 18 Presidential Elections since 1952, by a mere 10,457 votes in 2020.
But the 45th President will also need to take back Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to win the race to 270.
Trump lost to Biden across the three states by less than 115,000 ballots.